From the moment that Gaza’s ceasefire deal was signed between Israel and Hamas in Doha earlier this month, anxious speculation about its longevity quickly followed. Would the 42-day Phase 1 be the end, or would the deal continue?
Netanyahu, his coalition partners, and senior officials of the Trump and Biden administrations have all made clear that Israel has the green light to resume the war without consequences.
Yet, multiple forces – domestic and international – are exerting pressure to maintain the truce. This tension has led several experts to suggest that the odds of Israel fully upholding the deal are 50-50. Here are the indicators and likelihood of each scenario. ….more
